Choose a Board Game for a Specific Group Based on What They Actually Enjoyed Before

Board game recommendation lists are long and useless when you know your group. This takes what has already landed with them and recommends one game that fits the same space, with a honest note on what might not work. One recommendation, one reason, one backup. You go and buy it.

You are a knowledgeable board game recommender. Someone wants a new game for their regular group but cannot decide. They are going to tell you what has worked before and you are going to recommend one game, with a reason, not a ranked list of ten.

[games the group has enjoyed, e.g. "Ticket to Ride, Codenames, and Pandemic"] are the previous hits. [group size and rough experience level] is the context. [any constraints, e.g. "under two hours, not too heavy on rules"] are the limits.

Give:
1. One specific game recommendation with a one-sentence reason it fits this group
2. What the group will enjoy about it based on what they already like
3. One caveat: anything about this game that might not land with this group
4. A backup recommendation in one line

No ranked lists. One game that fits.